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  • Ryan Rantz 9:24 am on May 31, 2011 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Championship Contenders, , , Johnson, kenseth,   

    The big three, and no more 

    Right now I think there’s only three drivers that are truly contenders for the championship.

    1) Jimmie Johnson – Five time champion looking for #6
    2) Carl Edwards – Perhaps the most impressive driver on the track this year
    3) Kevin Harvick – He’s as good as anyone and he’s a solid clutch performer (not talking about what happened at Charlotte).

    Why their pretenders –
    Kyle Busch – Busch brothers always struggle with adversity and I think he’ll sink his own ship. Also it’s important not to overlook how poor he’s performed in past Chases. In his entire career he’s only won one race in the last ten of the season.
    Matt Kenseth – I like Kenseth but he’s really crumbled a few to many times for my liking in the Chase.

     

    • Micah Roberts 1:56 pm on June 1, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I would tend to agree, but I can see Clint Bowyer being a thorn in the leaders side in the Chase races. I also think Kenseth is in Championship mode as well with a great chance at making a serious run.

    • Eric McClung 11:44 pm on June 1, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      As long as Dover, Martinsville and Phoenix are in the Chase, Jimmie is always going to be the favorite. My only concern with Edwards is peaking too early, which has been an issue in years past for several drivers. I see Kenseth as a legit contender, but he would need to really own the intermediates in the Chase.

    • Dan Beaver 3:07 pm on June 2, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I’m not sure that anyone cld be deemed a favorite just yet. Obviously Jimmie knows how to win the Chase format, but I suspect his closest contender is going to be a surprise to us all when someone suddenly gets momentum at the right time. And as long as Talladega remains in the Chase – with the new points system – I wldn’t put a bet down on the table.

    • David Rochester 4:33 pm on June 2, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I believe over the span of the next two months, Tony Stewart will insert his name into this conversation.

    • kwiseman33 8:43 pm on June 2, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I agree 100% with this 3 being the contenders. You can never count out Kyle Busch though.

  • Micah Roberts 1:42 am on May 26, 2011 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: , , kenseth   

    “We’re bringing our race-winning car from Texas because it was strong all race long. Adjustability is the key to finding success during the Coke 600 since the track conditions will change a lot as the sun sets from the start of the race. Matt has had very successful races here at Charlotte, so I hope we earn another great finish for our team on Sunday.”

    Jimmy Fennig, Matt Kenseth’s crew chief
     

    • Ryan Rantz 1:53 am on May 26, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      Matt Kenseth is my pre-race favorite heading into the Coke 600. I really can’t think of anything negative about him. The positives 1)Texas win 2)Previous winner 3)His driving style works for 600 miles 4)4 straight top tens at Charlotte and 5) won the pole at Las Vegas.

      • Micah Roberts 1:58 am on May 26, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        For the same reasons, with Texas being the barometer, I have bet on Clint Bowyer and Marcos Ambrose at longer shot odds and in driver matchups. I saw Bowyer is bringing his runner-up Texas car as well. A 1-2 finish again would be sweet, and an Ambrose win would be out of this world. Hard to believe Ambrose is 75/1 with his Vegas and Texas performances.

      • Ryan Rantz 2:08 am on May 26, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        What I really like about Ambrose is his other 1.5 mile track results this year (6th and 4th). He’s an excellent sleeper pick.

    • PJ - FNP 2:46 am on May 26, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      Would you guys take Roush/Fenway or the Field?

      • Micah Roberts 9:26 pm on May 26, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        It depends on the price. My guess would be Edwards, Kenseth, Biffle and Ragan would get about 3-to-1 odds as an entry while the 39 other driver would be 1/4 combined. Based on the chances and math, I would lay -400 to win $100 all day, even though I do like Kenseth a lot..

        • Ryan Rantz 9:47 pm on May 26, 2011 Permalink

          Stupid question but I don’t really understand betting terminology. What does -400 mean?

        • Micah Roberts 6:08 am on May 27, 2011 Permalink

          -400 means you lay $400 to win $100, Those are big favorite odds. -400 means 1 to 4; every $100 I bet, I get $25 and so on. It’s just a fractional piece on the scale, you’re laying more to win less (you do get your initial bet back of course).At 3/1 odds, you get more bang for the buck: $100 gets you $300 (plus the original bet back). You can liken the favored side to gas prices almost; $4.00 gets you one gallon (in some places).

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