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  • Micah Roberts 4:06 pm on June 8, 2011 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: downshifting, pocono, stewart   

    Drivers Get To Shift Again at Pocono 

    I have the feeling that this weeks Pocono race will be drastically different than what we have seen there from 2005-2010. NASCAR is allowing for teams to be creative again with their gear ratios which turns it more into a road-type of race instead of just a horsepower race. Drivers will now be able to downshift bringing more of their ability to the forefront than we normally see.

    With three varied turns, it will be interesting to see the strategies that each team employs and where they are centering those strategies to perform best at.

    By putting more emphasis on the driver, while still needing lots of horsepower, I have changed my initial thoughts on believing Denny Hamlin will win. Tony Stewart has averaged better than anyone the last five races there, but when throwing the driver equation into the mix, he stands out even more. He should be able to be just a bit quicker on his entries and exits of turns using it to his advantage better than most.

    Even though it’s another flip-flop of rules by NASCAR, I like it and I think the fans will too. There should more passing than what we’ve seen at Pocono the last six seasons with turn 3 being exciting once again.

     
    • Ryan Rantz 5:24 pm on June 8, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I really don’t see it as being that big of a deal. When I look back a few posts to my top five predictions for Pocono every driver is good on road courses including Denny Hamlin.

      I think the biggest impact for the new rule might be fuel management. Pocono is usually run backwards (pit strategy wise) and giving drivers more gear options will impact the fuel game.

      • Ryan Rantz 7:35 pm on June 9, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        I started up a YouTube account this week for my site, here’s Biffle talking about it:

    • Eric McClung 6:22 pm on June 9, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      One concern with taking Hamlin (or Kyle Busch, for that matter) are the engine failures at JGR this season. All the shifting is going to result in a lot more RPMs. I already had Montoya as my dark horse for this race so the new rules only help that case.

      • Micah Roberts 7:37 pm on June 9, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        One the same note as Montoya, I have also upgraded Ambrose to a higher plateau for this week as I will look to play him in matchups. It doesn’t hurt that his car for this week finished third at Dover.

      • Micah Roberts 5:18 pm on June 10, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        Denny Hamlin today after practice on shifting:

        “I think that we’re really only shifting in one corner — in turn one. It’s tough for me to say. You’re still going to have the guys that typically run good here — looking at the practice speeds, it looked like the typical guys were pretty good. I don’t think it will change a whole lot, but I do think it’s going to be tough on the reliability of these race cars for 500 miles. Shifting takes its toll on engines for sure. Somebody will break one.”

        Eric, seems like he has concerns about the engine too, which is why maybe he’s not using it in turn three. But it would seem turn three would have the most value using it to get up and go after such a flat turn heading into the long straight.

  • Eric McClung 2:47 pm on June 7, 2011 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Hornish, pocono   

    Sam Hornish Jr. = Pocono sleeper? 

    With Travis Kvapil at Texas Motor Speedway for the Camping World Truck Series race, Sam Hornish Jr. will pilot the No. 38 Long John Silver’s Ford for Front Row Motorsports this week. Hornish has been a bust as a full-time driver in NASCAR but was able to put together some good finishes on flat tracks like Phoenix and Pocono. Given he owns four straight finishes of 11th or better at Pocono, including one top-five, do you view Hornish was a sleeper pick this week?

    I see Sideways Sam a decent option if you want to save a start in allocation games, like Yahoo, and a nice budget option in salary cap formats. However, several of his good Pocono finishes came as a result of pit strategy and staying out late. His average running position at Pocono has never been better than 16th.

     
    • Ryan Rantz 2:57 pm on June 7, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      If he were in Penske equipment I would trust him, since it’s a Front Row Motorsports car I will avoid. In a Penske car he would have superior horsepower but I don’t see this being the case this week.

    • Jordan McAbee 10:06 pm on June 7, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I’ll probably throw him on my NASCAR.com Fantasy Live roster, simply because I put one of those low-dollar drivers on there every week.

      • Eric McClung 10:11 pm on June 7, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        I’ll start Hornish in NASCAR.com if he qualifies poorly. Winning in that game is all about going after Place Differential. I’ve been using Dave Blaney as my last driver lately and he gets 20+ points a week. Starting anyone inside the top-10 is a big risk in that game.

        • Jordan McAbee 3:52 pm on June 10, 2011 Permalink

          I disagree. I won the first segment in my league and I’m leading this segment and in both I’ve had one of the worst place differentials. Could just be me, though. I’m like you and pick people in the back that will make their way to the front, or at least improve positions.

        • Eric McClung 4:59 pm on June 10, 2011 Permalink

          How many points do you have overall?

        • Jordan McAbee 5:48 pm on June 10, 2011 Permalink

          3014.0

        • Eric McClung 6:08 pm on June 10, 2011 Permalink

          I’ve got 3,291.5 points (First in Dan Beaver’s league, 1,851 overall), 509 from Place Differential. I almost never start anyone inside the top-five, sometimes one top pick in the top-10 or so. I like how they score some Loop Data, but I’d rather see Average Running Position scored.

        • Jordan McAbee 7:46 pm on June 10, 2011 Permalink

          Agreed. Seems like the trick to doing well is picking one of the low-dollar drivers and stocking up on the big guys. Didn’t realize that until a couple weeks ago lol

      • Micah Roberts 4:09 pm on June 8, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        I’m just happy to see Hornish driving again, but I see him having a hard time competing well with that car.

  • Micah Roberts 4:14 pm on June 6, 2011 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: 5 hour energy 500, , , pocono   

    Hamlin To Win Fifth Time at Pocono? 

    Denny Hamlin just got his second top-five finish of the year at Kansas and comes in with a little momentum going to a track that he’s won at four times and owns the top average finish (8.2) among active drivers. I like him to win this week and finally break out of his hangover that began at Phoenix last season en route to his championship choke job.

    But we have some solid contenders from Roush, Childress and Stewart that have exhibited recent horsepower to get the job done on the long Pocono straightaways. Make a case for Hamlin not to win and who will be the one, and why, to stop Hamlin from winning for the fifth time on his most successful track. Interested to see all your thoughts on the matter.

     
    • Ryan Rantz 6:47 pm on June 6, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I’m going with Hamlin as well. The momentum for him has been building for weeks and I think it’s time he capitalizes. This is his race to lose IMO.

      My Pocono top 5: 1)Hamlin 2)Edwards 3)Johnson 4)Stewart 5)Harvick

      • Micah Roberts 7:14 pm on June 6, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        Wow, it looks almost exactly like my top 5 I just wrote about except I have Biffle in there instead of Johnson. I hope your right.

        • Ryan Rantz 7:37 pm on June 6, 2011 Permalink

          I hope so to. I think Pocono is a pretty easy status quo track fantasy NASCAR wise.

      • David Rochester 8:03 am on June 7, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        He will make my roster this week no doubt. I’m totally sold on this team imploding this season from a pit road mistake or crew chief error. When Hamlin is among the favorite, the chance for that to happen rises. Hopefully, this isn’t the week for that.

        My top 5: Stewart, Edwards, Hamlin, Harvick, Kahne (Stretching I know, but I expect a great run from Red Bull as a whole this week).

    • Jordan McAbee 8:00 pm on June 6, 2011 Permalink | Reply

      I think Hamlin will win as well. I’ll probably have Keselowski as my underdog like I did last week.

      • Micah Roberts 2:59 am on June 7, 2011 Permalink | Reply

        Keselowski looks to be running with something entirely different from the first 10 races of the year. Maybe Kurt Busch lit some kind of fire for the entire Penske NASCAR unit when blowing up at them a few weeks ago, because they both look drastically improved..

        • Jordan McAbee 3:41 pm on June 10, 2011 Permalink

          Agreed. Both have really turned things around here recently.

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